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In playing baccarat, many people tend to stick to flat betting and negative progression. I, too, have been using negative progression, but chasing losses repeatedly, I've realized it's merely a form of self-consolation. Take, for example, the negative progression with straight cables; the longer the cable, the lower the chance of encountering short cables. Initially, you might enjoy winning, thinking that this method is great and you've made a lot of profit. However, once the streak breaks, frustration sets in. You think about how your efforts have gone to waste, and you might end up making reckless bets. It's like chopping wood for three years and burning it in one day. Besides anger, there's more anger.
You might say, "Forget it," and go all in with your remaining chips, thinking there are two possible outcomes. One is hitting the jackpot, feeling self-satisfied and thinking you're lucky. Then, when you face another losing streak, you continue to bet recklessly. You might win once, twice, but can you win every time? Once you deplete your bankroll, you shift your anger onto the dealer or the casino staff, blaming them for your losses.
Next is flat betting. While it's a low-risk method, people who play this way usually don't go to the casino just to play; they are there to win money. If you keep going back and forth, you are still losing in the long run because of the house edge.
Then there's positive progression, like straight cable positive progression. Those who start using it might feel frustrated at first, as it takes time to win. But once you get through, the profits can be significant, like chopping wood for one day and burning it for three years. Sometimes, it's about making a big impact with one shot. Using a small stake to win big, it's like lifting four ounces with a thousand pounds. Casino bosses like players who use straight cable negative progression because they give players some quick wins initially, but eventually, they make you bleed. What if we change roles? Then, we become the casino bosses, and the casino becomes the player we fleece.
I've been playing for more than two years, and the biggest profits come from positive progression. The highest record is turning $200 into $3,000, then withdrawing $2,000, and turning the remaining $1,000 into $3,000 again, all with positive progression. The highest record for negative progression is starting with $80 and reaching $8,000, then losing it all. At that time, the negative progression kept breaking, leaving only $80. I switched to positive progression, won four rounds in a row, totaling over $600, and continued for over three hours. In the end, I lost it all, down to $0. I also played flat betting, betting the largest chips I had. In the first day during the winning phase, I bet $500 per hand, played over 20 hands, and then I went into the losing phase. It took five days, and I lost for four days. Afterward, I never used flat betting again.
To sum it up, let's analyze the risk and profit of these methods using the popular 50/50 odds as a reference:
- Negative progression: Betting big to win small, high risk.
- Flat betting: Betting the same amount, low risk, but losing due to the house edge.
- Positive progression: Betting small to win big, low risk.
I believe that with a bit of judgment, you'll know which method to choose, right? |
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