|
""Regardless of whether it's 1>2>4>8>16>32>64... or 1>3>7>15>31>63>127... or other similar patterns, when calculated based on probabilities, taking the 7-style cable as an example:
Assuming no house edge, the average probability is 50%.
The cable break probability is 50% x 50% x 50% x 50% x 50% x 50% x 50% = 0.78125%.
This means, on average, it will break once every 128 rounds.
However, in the actual DC game, for example, the dice game has a 1/36 chance (snake eyes) of a house edge, and roulette has a 1/37 chance (zero). When we use roulette data, with a win rate of 48.648648..., the cable break probability is calculated as the loss rate x the loss rate:
The cable break probability is 51.352% x 51.352% x 51.352% x 51.352% x 51.352% x 51.352% x 51.352% = 0.94167608%.
This means, on average, it will break once every 106 rounds.
The total cost for 1>2>4>8>16>32>64 is 127 (the number of winning rounds is not considered).
The total cost for 1>3>7>15>31>63>127 is 247 (winning 1 unit per round).
Regardless of whether you follow the probability without house edge, with an average probability of 128 rounds to win 128 units and then break once to lose 247, or if you are subjected to house edge for 106 rounds, win 106 units and then break once to lose 247, it all results in a loss. There is no advantage in probabilities, and long-term gambling leads to losses. I urge everyone to abandon this cable gambling method. If you can't even calculate probabilities, then there's no need to gamble. Ask yourself, 'What makes you think you can win it?'
My view on this method is also unfavorable. Although the cable break probability seems low, it's not as safe as it appears. It only gives you a false sense of security.
Those who understand clearly will realize one thing: playing continuously, changing tables, or playing day and night are essentially the same. The difference lies in your state of mind. Long-term gambling is bound to result in losses.
Furthermore, the data above assumes that cable breaks only occur in the later stages. If you have only one cable left and it breaks before 106 rounds, such as after winning 50 rounds, then there's even less chance of recovery.
Another strong proof of DC's profits: Mid-range rooms account for 23%, while VIP rooms only have 3%. Why is there such a big difference? Mid-range rooms lose 23 yuan to DC for every 100 yuan bet, and most of it comes from cable gambling. Many ignorant people gamble on cables without even calculating probabilities, which is a significant source of DC's wealth.
Why not learn from the big players in the main hall, who rely on luck, increase their bets when winning, and use more precise betting techniques or stake control? But it's definitely not about gambling on cables!
Once you understand everything, you'll realize that even if you win 100 rounds of cable gambling with super good luck, you'll only win 100 units x $$. As soon as you experience a brief streak of bad luck, losing ten or eight rounds is very common, and your entire bankroll is gone. Many people realize this and turn to the study of bursting cables (also known as anti-cables), thinking there's another world...
Although house edge won't kill you, it only applies to flat bets and can't be applied to cable gambling. Whether it's positive cable or negative cable, snake eyes or zero, all these opposite theories do not necessarily hold.
But we're heading in the direction of winning; it's just that the path isn't clear yet. Let me explain this in detail here. Please pay attention.
If you want to win in the long run, winning more than losing and getting more returns over time than what you invest, you must embrace the concept of being the house, with the only difference being that you don't have the advantage of a house edge. However, that's not a big problem.
DC involves many disciplines, including psychology, environment, science, mathematics, and even philosophy. Some even believe in factors like astrology, feng shui, luck, deities, and more, although these are not widely recognized.
But the reason why the house can win in the long run is precisely the opposite: no emotions, no feelings, no mood. They have unlimited time, unlimited capital, limited table limits, no fear, no changes, no regrets, and they wait for opportunities.
Players who think that having confidence in winning against the house will ultimately lead to their own defeat. If you want to take advantage of DC, seeking a small profit in each round, it won't work. The main reason is ""human nature.""
Most people believe in various formulas, roads, and cable gambling in one form or another. This impractical and baseless belief leads to losses. To win, you must relearn and eliminate human nature.""
|
|