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Today, I'll share some analysis techniques and experiences of the matches on the gambling forum, so you can get some insights.
With the increasing number of events on the betting day and limited player energy, friends often ask how to choose matches for analysis. In fact, I've talked about this issue a long time ago. Since the classification of matches is essentially either matches where the bookmakers have no clear bias, focusing on steady profits, or matches with irrational odds, the latter type is what we are interested in. In these matches, bookmakers intentionally manipulate the odds to attract bets on a specific side. If you can analyze the bookmaker's intention correctly, you will synchronize with the bookmaker, increasing your chances of winning. So, how do you shortlist these matches? Here are some methods:
1. Find Irregular Handicaps and Odds:
Start by conducting a comprehensive scan of early European and Asian handicap odds. There is almost no need for selection; you can include all matches. Alternatively, use European odds to identify matches where the handicap seems unreasonable. For instance, if the European odds suggest a half-ball handicap, but the Asian odds are set at a quarter-ball, or if a strong team is given a significant handicap, these are indications of manipulated odds. Analyze further to understand the bookmaker's true intention.
2. Capitalize on Strengths and Avoid Weaknesses:
Everyone has leagues they are more familiar with. Matches from these leagues have higher confidence levels and success rates. Prioritize familiar leagues, and also focus on specific handicaps or odds changes that you are skilled at analyzing. For example, if you are proficient in analyzing the half-ball handicap, prioritize matches with this characteristic.
3. Follow Long-Term Trends:
Identify teams that consistently perform well or poorly. For teams that have a positive or negative trend, adhere to these trends. Believe in a team's ability to continue winning or losing, rather than expecting a sudden reversal. This approach minimizes the likelihood of being wrong multiple times.
4. Consider Team Strength and Form:
If the above methods seem laborious, focus on teams with exceptional recent form or significant strength. Analyze these teams to determine if the odds support their current status. For underdogs, check if the handicap is too lenient; for favorites, see if the odds are reasonable. This strategy is especially useful when other methods feel overwhelming.
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