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"There are many methods worth researching when it comes to in-play betting, starting with the Over/Under markets. This discussion revolves around the evolution of modern football – more matches and more goals. Defensive lines have moved forward by at least 10 meters. Preliminary statistics suggest that a 0-0 result in any given match doesn't exceed 10%. If we focus solely on the Over/Under markets without considering live betting, the ratio of Overs to Unders shouldn't differ significantly. However, when analyzing live betting and observing changes in the Over/Under lines and match time, the probability of Overs becomes much higher. Of course, this analysis depends on the shifts in the odds.
For instance, in league matches, when there are no goals in the first half, the Over/Under line tends to decrease as the game progresses. When the line reaches a point where any goal would result in an Over, it's a good time to consider the Over option. This situation often arises after the 70th minute, with less than 20 minutes remaining in the match. Even if there were 1 or 2 goals earlier in the game, if the current Over/Under line suggests that any goal would lead to an Over, you can consider placing an Over bet.
The late stages of the game are a peak period for goals. During this time, it's better to focus on the Over/Under market rather than betting on the home or away teams. Either side scoring a goal can result in a win or a half-win. This approach carries less risk compared to betting on specific outcomes. Moreover, the odds for the Over option at this stage are often higher, offering better potential returns.
This method has been successfully used by a friend with a high win rate. They've developed various strategies under this principle, consistently profiting. However, this approach has its drawbacks, mainly being mentally exhausting. Those who have experience with live betting can relate. Additionally, believing in luck is essential when betting on any sport. If your preferred methods or theories aren't yielding results during a losing streak, it's wise to take a break. Remember, you can't bet on every game, and your funds are limited. Just like in stock trading, only a few who can adapt and learn thrive. Those who fall by the wayside, even during bullish periods, are eventually left with losses. The same applies to sports betting. How many of those who were active a few years ago are still betting consistently? How many can still place high-stake bets like before? The remaining ones have become experts or at least seasoned veterans." |
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Post time 4-9-2023 12:05:35