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Edited by Iravan774 at 22-12-2023 12:33 PM
Baccarat is a game loved by many, seemingly simple but actually quite challenging.
With 8 decks or 6 decks, the combinations of banker and player outcomes are astronomical. There are streaks, zigzags, and this is why players can't win consistently.
Statistically, it's a 50-50, zero-sum game, but the banker has a slight edge due to the advantage of drawing cards, which results in a 5% commission.
Even so, the banker still holds the edge, and betting on the player side is a trap designed by the house, although not very obvious.
Approximately every 80 hands, you'll find an extra banker win.
I once used flat betting on the player for about 3000 hands, winning 43 units in the first day. The second day, using the same method for 3000 hands resulted in the opposite, a loss of 30 units.
There's roughly a 10-unit swing in every 100 hands. But this is a small sample and can't really prove anything. For accuracy, you need an infinitely large sample, but players are human, they need to rest, and sleep, so we can't use the law of large numbers to make money - that belongs to the banker.
In Baccarat, shoe base oscillations are mostly between 2-6, but there are extreme cases that deviate greatly from this range, with the biggest difference between banker and player reportedly being 34 units. Can you imagine this?
The amplitude is so enormous that once a gambler makes a wrong choice, the consequences are unthinkable, while the banker is unfazed because they have unlimited gambling capital.
Why doesn't card counting work? Because the amplitude is unpredictable, you can't be sure. Card counting just makes you lose faster. That's why many experts suggest the concept of cutting the game into segments.
But how to cut it, I still haven't figured out.
A seemingly straightforward 1:1 game, all because of this amplitude, has caused many to go broke, lose sleep, and keep searching for a way to crack it.
It's said that some people have cracked Baccarat, but learning from the lessons of Blackjack, they keep it a secret. Therefore, there are still many gambling novices (including myself) walking on this road of no return... |
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Post time 21-10-2023 17:17:56