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Distinguishing between probabilistic betting and entry points is a matter of understanding.
As long as you are placing your bets on either the banker or the player, it does not fall under probabilistic betting. Probabilistic betting doesn't consider these choices and isn't concerned with whether it's the banker or the player.
You might not fully comprehend this yet.
Regarding jumping and continuity, whether it's the banker or the player, they are essentially the same, and these aspects are not critical.
Are you saying you can place your bets with your eyes closed? I'm not suggesting closing your eyes while betting.
So, can you achieve over 50% and control fluctuations when betting? It's not achievable, and there's no need to do it because it's unnecessary.
If you could do it, then there would be a method to achieve it, right? The way you've framed this question is problematic.
If you can't do it either, is what you're talking about useful then? I don't have a straightforward answer.
Probabilities vary in different situations, so different methods are required, and I assume you still don't grasp what I'm saying.
I'm not entirely sure about your "three many," but I do have some understanding of five rounds and eight stars. The main point is to start with the essence of probability and analyze the strategy based on that, which means the strategy should fundamentally comply with the conditions of probability. Then, different methods should be adapted for various situations.
I haven't dismissed other people's viewpoints. Studying probability requires careful attention because the results it manifests are deterministic, and out of the many methods, only a few have the potential to succeed. That's why I understand why you, a008, may feel this way.
However, I hold reservations about the concept of reducing fluctuations because, in my view, it's impossible since it contradicts the essence of probability (I'd like to hear differing views). (Essence of probability, probability fluctuations)
Now, regarding the issue of value betting, if you recognize that every hand has a 50% chance (except for cases where you don't recognize a 50% chance), then the value betting rate for each hand is the same. Thus, it is impossible for different hands to have different value betting rates. If someone could predict in advance that the value betting rates are different and know the value betting rate for each hand, that person should be a god.
Actually, the principle of DB is that the outcome of long gambling sessions is a draw!
The rules of DB are established by the casinos, and the gamblers must adhere to them; otherwise, they should not gamble. To ensure profitability, the casinos set the rules, so that each side has approximately a 50% chance of winning (mainly in baccarat, and not involving other games). We don't take into account the commission (house edge) because it's minimal.
The casinos have massive amounts of capital, while the gamblers have very little. Once the gamblers consistently lose, they panic and quickly lose their remaining money. If you have a hundred thousand and bet one hundred each time, consistently doing this results in a draw in the long run (not considering the commission).
Everyone goes to the casino with the goal of making money, but remember, the casino has a 50% chance of winning, just like you do. So why should you expect to win against it? Since both sides have equal chances, maintaining a draw is already very good.
Therefore, we say that the ultimate outcome of DB is a draw.
The only way to beat it is to cut it.
DB expert Mr. Hu found some friends and had them place bets while he acted as the banker. The results consistently showed the banker winning. Mr. Hu was inspired by this and realized that to make money, one must "swap positions." How can you swap positions? The method is simple: when you place your bets, if you win, the banker loses, and if you lose, the banker wins. So when betting, you can bet against your intended target, for example, if you want to bet on the banker, place your chips on the player's side. |
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