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"**Analysis of Strength and Fundamentals**
Analysis of strength and fundamentals allows you to determine whether the odds are reasonable and if there's a potential for an upset. Some signs of potential upsets can often be sensed during this fundamental analysis phase. Here are some practical methods for fundamental analysis:
1. Recent Performance:
- Wins, draws, and losses in recent matches.
- Order of wins, draws, and losses.
- The type of competitions played.
- Goal difference.
- Home and away performance.
- Performance against specific opponents.
2. Head-to-Head Record:
- Historical wins, draws, and losses against the opponent.
- The order of wins, draws, and losses.
- Type of competitions played.
- Goal difference.
- Home and away performance.
- Time intervals between matches.
3. Team Rankings:
- Overall team ranking.
- Home and away rankings.
- Rankings from the previous season.
4. Home and Away Records:
- Some teams perform exceptionally well at home.
- Even if a team has recently had a poor home record, it might still have extra motivation.
5. Motivation:
- The nature of the game: e.g., championship aspirations, relegation, qualification for various competitions.
6. Injuries:
- Injuries to key offensive and defensive players affect a team differently.
7. Physical Condition:
- Midweek matches can significantly reduce a team's strength.
- Extended breaks can lead to a stronger performance and a higher chance of winning, making draws less likely.
8. Heritage:
- Historical achievements and honors.
- Recent years' performance (which determines the underlying distribution).
9. Special Factors:
- News, transfers, player values, etc.
For the top five leagues, it's essential to consider factors such as the teams' recent form, the current status of key players, the significance of the match, coach statements during pre-match press conferences, and official team news. The more information you can gather about the competing teams, the more informed your subsequent odds analysis will be.
**Asian Handicap Analysis**
1. **Basic Knowledge of Asian Handicap:**
Common types of handicaps and their explanations:
- Level Ball (0): Both teams start on equal footing, so the odds for each side are the same.
- Level Ball/Half Ball (0/0.5): If you bet on the favored team and they win, you win your full stake. If they draw, you get half your stake back, and if they lose, you lose your full stake.
- Half Ball (0.5): If you bet on the favored team and they win or draw, you win your full stake. If they lose, you lose your full stake.
- Half Ball/One Ball (0.5/1): If you bet on the favored team and they win by one goal, you win half your stake. If they win by two goals or more, you win your full stake.
- One Ball (1): If you bet on the favored team and they win by one goal, you get your stake back. If they win by two or more goals, you win your full stake.
- One Ball/One and a Half Ball (1/1.5): If you bet on the favored team and they win by one goal, you win half your stake. If they win by two or more goals, you win your full stake.
- One and a Half Ball (1.5): If you bet on the favored team and they win by one or more goals, you win your full stake.
- One and a Half Ball/Two Ball (1.5/2): If you bet on the favored team and they win by two or more goals, you win your full stake.
- Two Ball (2): If you bet on the favored team and they win by two goals, you get your stake back. If they win by three or more goals, you win your full stake." |
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