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"Converting European Odds to Asian Handicaps
European odds can be converted to Asian handicaps primarily based on the odds for the home team or the handicap odds. In Asian handicaps, the focus is on adjusting the odds for the home team or the favored side. By mastering the odds and the handicap for the home team or the favored side, you can work with Asian handicaps. The handicap point is generally calculated based on a total of 1.85 points, which is consistent with the odds in Macau. Here's the conversion formula for European odds to Asian handicaps:
Pick'em (0) Handicap: 2.30-2.60
Half (0.5) Handicap: 1.90-2.30
Half Ball (0.25) Handicap: 1.70-1.90
Half Ball (0.75) Handicap: 1.60-1.70
One (1) Handicap: 1.45-1.60
One and One-Half (1.5) Handicap: 1.35-1.45
One and a Half (1.5) Handicap: 1.25-1.35
One and a Half to Two (1.5 to 2) Handicap: 1.15-1.25
Generally, it's not very valuable to invest in handicaps of two goals or more.
Conversion of Odds:
For example, let's take the Pick'em (0) Handicap range, 2.30-2.60. The odds for both the home and away teams fluctuate from the lowest point to the highest point. For instance, if the European odds are 2.30, the corresponding Asian handicap should be the home team at 0.8 and the away team at 1.05. If the European odds are 2.40, the Asian handicap should be the home team at 0.9 and the away team at 0.95. If the European odds are 2.60, the Asian handicap should be the home team at 1.0 and the away team at 0.85. This pattern continues, with the range divided into low, medium, and high odds based on the formula.
Classification of Odds:
In general, odds are divided into three categories: high odds, medium odds, and low odds, as follows:
Ultra-Low Odds: Below 0.75
Low Odds Range: 0.75-0.85
Low-Medium Odds Range: 0.86-0.90
Medium Odds Range: 0.91-0.95
Medium-High Odds Range: 0.96-1.00
High Odds: 1.00-1.05
Ultra-High Odds: 1.05-1.10
Based on years of practical experience, here are a couple of points to consider:
Asian Handicaps of 0.86-0.92 (Half/One) often lead to successful bets on the higher side.
A Half (0.93-0.96) Handicap usually results in lower success rates for bets on the higher side and is more prone to upsets.
Understanding and Using European Odds:
European odds represent the odds for the outcome of a football match (win, draw, or loss) that a bookmaker sets based on the information they have.
European odds consist of initial odds, live odds, and closing odds.
Bookmakers adjust odds to control the payout ratio for wins, draws, and losses, primarily based on changes in information for initial odds, and based on betting volume for live odds.
Bookmakers don't adjust odds solely based on betting volume and might even take a contrarian approach.
A basic analysis method for using European odds is the average odds.
When analyzing odds from a specific bookmaker, it might be somewhat biased. Bookmakers set their odds based on the preferences of the bettors they cater to. Different regions have different bookmakers, and their odds vary. A bookmaker's odds represent the consensus opinion of their clientele and don't necessarily reflect the bookmaker's true beliefs or opinions. They must operate within the laws of supply and demand and try to balance their book. Analyzing odds from a single bookmaker might lead to inaccurate conclusions.
Average odds can provide more objective information. Taking the average of odds from 20 or more different bookmakers in various regions helps filter out biases and adjust for the bookmaker's margin, providing a more balanced view of the match's likely outcomes. This adjusted data is considered to be more reliable and informative." |
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Post time 17-10-2023 14:44:22
