Introduction to Football Handicap Betting Methods.

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"The so-called handicap is a popular football betting method in Southeast Asia and the Hong Kong and Macau regions. Because most football matches inherently have some differences in strength, to make the game more exciting and fair, the side hosting the football betting (usually referred to as the bookmaker) often sets an artificial difference between two teams in the match. This is done using handicap betting, which levels the playing field.

1. What Are Over and Under Handicaps
The team giving the handicap is referred to as the ""over,"" while the team receiving the handicap is referred to as the ""under."" For example, in a match between Manchester United and Fulham, if Manchester United gives a half-goal handicap to Fulham, Manchester United is considered the ""over"" team in the handicap, while Fulham is the ""under"" team.

2. How to Calculate Handicap Betting Outcomes
Handicap betting outcomes are determined by the handicap rules. The most common handicap betting rules are as follows:

- Level Handicap (0): Both sides start evenly, with no goal advantage.
- Level/0.5 Goal: A draw results in a half-loss for those who bet on the ""under,"" while a win results in a half-win for those who bet on the ""over.""
- 0.5 Goal: A draw results in a full loss, while winning by one goal results in a full win.
- 0.5 Goal/1 Goal: A draw results in a full loss, winning by one goal results in a half-win, and winning by two goals or more results in a full win.
- 1 Goal: Winning by one goal is considered a draw, while winning by two goals or more is a full win.
- 1 Goal/1.5 Goals: Winning by one goal results in a half-win, while winning by two goals or more results in a full win.
- 1.5 Goals: Winning by two goals or more is a half-win, while winning by three goals or more is a full win.
- 1.5 Goals/2 Goals: Winning by two goals results in a half-win, while winning by three goals or more is a full win.
- 2 Goals: Winning by two goals is considered a draw, while winning by three goals or more is a full win.
- 2 Goals/2.5 Goals: Winning by two goals results in a half-win, while winning by three goals or more is a full win.

Football handicap betting is a way for bookmakers to balance the strengths of both teams through setting handicaps and adjusting odds. It creates a fair environment for betting on football matches. This type of football betting originated in Asia but has gained popularity worldwide, with some European bookmakers offering Asian handicap options to capture the market.

Analyzing the Asian handicap is crucial when making predictions in sports betting. The handicap, often referred to as the ""spread,"" is a significant factor in balancing the odds for both teams. For teams with strong overall capabilities, the handicap should be adjusted in favor of weaker opponents. The larger the strength gap, the more significant the handicap should be, discouraging bettors from simply favoring the stronger team and potentially switching to support the weaker team.

Bookmakers can manipulate the odds to achieve relative balance, such as having two or more consecutive jumps in the handicap. When the odds are favorable, the probability of betting on the ""over"" is not less than 90%. Similarly, if the handicap drops by 2 levels or more consecutively, the probability of betting on the ""under"" is extremely high. These dramatic changes in handicaps may not occur frequently, but they are common in Chinese leagues."

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