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Baccarat Banker Edge and Pair & Tie Commissions?

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Post time 7-10-2023 12:37:04 | Show all posts |Read mode
Edited by Ritu77 at 23-12-2023 05:32 PM

The banker in baccarat has an advantage of approximately +0.25. However, they incur expenses such as transfer fees, bonuses, operational costs, employee salaries, and venue expenses. In theory, the banker's advantage shouldn't easily defeat the gamblers. But in reality, gamblers often face repeated losses. The reasons for this may need to be sought within the gamblers themselves.

Profit margin is something the banker can use to cover expenses or generate profits. Gamblers, on the other hand, must overcome a negative profit margin to make a profit.

The issue of capital is of utmost importance, as it is in any business, including Dragon Tiger (DB). Many people focus on the size of their capital, but the most critical aspect of capital is its long-term sustainability (depth and thickness).

The banker's advantage lies in their deep capital, allowing them to weather losses and deliver a fatal blow when winning. Gamblers who seek quick gains and try to exploit short-term trends may win in isolated instances, but in the long run, many of these strategies are more harmful than beneficial, particularly to one's mindset.

Impatience and the desire to get rich overnight or win a little every day are unrealistic and untrue to the nature of the game.

Regarding betting limits, while the banker may have limits in place for self-protection, gamblers should also set their limits.

If you want to beat the banker, finding an unbeatable strategy may be challenging. It might be wiser to go against the grain, leveraging the banker's advantages to your own benefit.

The concept of betting on "pairs" involves predicting whether the first two cards dealt to either the banker or the player will form a pair. You can bet on "Banker Pair" or "Player Pair," and the payout is usually 11 to 1. Many gamblers place bets on both "Banker" and "Player" pairs simultaneously, and some even add a "Tie" bet to the mix, hoping to win all three in a single wager. While this approach offers substantial returns if successful, the rarity of pairs makes it an overall unprofitable strategy. Betting on "Banker" or "Player" with larger stakes might be a more prudent choice.

In baccarat, the occurrence of a "Tie" (a standoff) is relatively infrequent, typically occurring once every ten hands or so. Betting on "Pairs" is even less profitable, given the odds offered by casinos. If you consistently spend time in casinos, you may notice certain patterns in the occurrence of "Ties," almost as if there's a hidden force at play. However, relying on "Ties" as a primary betting strategy is not advisable for regular gamblers. Instead, it's more of a test-your-luck approach.

Many novice players wonder why there is a 5% commission on winning banker bets in baccarat while no commission is applied to winning player bets. This leads some to believe that betting on the player is the better choice. However, this is a common misconception.

In reality, the probabilities of the banker and player winning are not the same due to differences in the rules regarding drawing additional cards. With eight decks of cards, the probability of the banker winning is approximately 45.86%, while the probability of the player winning is about 44.62%. The remaining probability accounts for ties. Baccarat naturally favors the banker, which is why a 5% commission is applied to banker wins. This commission helps balance the expected values between banker and player bets.

The actual calculation of the profit margin based on probabilities is as follows:
- Profit margin on banker bets = 0.95 × 45.860 - 44.625 = -1.058
- Profit margin on player bets = 44.625 - 45.860 = -1.235
- Profit margin on tie bets = 8 × 9.516 - 44.625 - 45.860 = -14.3575

In summary, the 5% commission on banker wins in baccarat isn't a true "commission" in the traditional sense of extracting money from players. It's a mechanism to achieve a balanced house edge. The profit margin calculations reveal the actual house advantage. In essence, the casino employs three different profit margins for banker, player, and tie bets, with tie bets having the highest margin. These margins are applied based on the probabilities of different outcomes and the number of cards used in the game.
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Post time 7-10-2023 12:59:45 | Show all posts
"Thanks for introducing the techniques, but we shouldn't overlook the gameplay."
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Post time 7-10-2023 13:03:30 | Show all posts
"When you win, it's time to leave; sticking to any method for too long is a point of no return."
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