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"Today, let's discuss how to deal with match-fixing and match manipulation.
Many factors contribute to the creation of manipulated odds in sports betting, including odds, referees, team performance history, player mentality, manipulation, injuries, weather conditions, betting patterns, and the atmosphere at the venue. To gauge the extent of manipulation in a match, a careful analysis of these factors is essential, and obtaining accurate information is crucial. If the analysis heavily favors one team in several indicators or composite indexes, there may be issues with the match. On the other hand, if the analysis results are balanced, it could be considered a fair contest.
I often hear experienced bettors talk about trap odds, which are essentially manipulated odds set by bookmakers to mislead bettors, and this is a primary way bookmakers make money. Typically, these odds appear every day, but they are not easily discernible to ordinary individuals. Unlike insider information or match-fixing, trap odds are created by bookmakers after collecting a wealth of data and assessing which team is likely to win. People tend to bet on the team they expect to win based on their analysis, and bookmakers adjust the odds accordingly. While trap odds may utilize insider information or match manipulation, they cannot solely rely on them, as bettors who are aware of such tactics could cause bookmakers significant losses. Furthermore, in these odds, both bookmakers and bettors can lose, but bookmakers' odds are more likely to prevail, which is why bookmakers continue to thrive, despite our cries of ""down with the bookies.""
Understanding these trap odds can empower bettors, and forums often discuss the presence of match manipulation. However, distinguishing match-fixing is not something an ordinary person can easily do. Information about match-fixing often comes from within the teams, especially when there's a significant difference in strength between the teams, or when one side has much more at stake than the other. It can also occur when both teams are indifferent to the result, or when a draw benefits both sides equally. These situations make match manipulation more likely, and they can be manipulated by bookmakers.
In reality, most football matches are genuine, and only a small percentage involve match manipulation. Consider the enormous expenses incurred by football clubs, from exorbitant transfer fees to high player salaries. Without an understanding with gambling companies, a few manipulated matches wouldn't be sufficient to sustain normal operations. I recall an incident from the 2012 African Cup where a betting company bribed a right-back who, within the first 10 minutes of the match, committed bizarre fouls and received a red card as part of the manipulation. It was confirmed that he was indeed influenced for $400,000. Similarly, incidents like Tottenham's Benoît Assou-Ekotto's inexplicable foul leading to a penalty in the 2022 World Cup final leave traces that can be investigated. Due to varying sources of information collection on different websites, bettors often encounter smokescreens deliberately released by bookmakers, leading to losses. To navigate manipulated odds and match-fixing, we must rely on a calm mind and professional analysis." |
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