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"Many people think that gambling is a 50% chance game, but the 50% win/lose chance is based on a 100% payout rate. In normal circumstances, when we exclude the house's normal commission, we're left with a 45% chance of winning. If the commission is severe and the payout rate is less than 80%, then you need a 60% win rate just to break even, and at this point, you're already losing. So when it comes to gambling, unless you have absolute confidence, it's best to stay away from games with a payout rate below 80%.
Here are some games with a payout rate below 80% that you should avoid unless you are absolutely certain:
1. Baccarat's big and small bets: As shown, the odds of 0.53+1.45 may seem to reach 1.98, but the actual payout rate is only 1.45*0.53*100% = 76.85%. You should only bet on this game if you have a surefire strategy.
2. Dragon Tiger, especially bets like ""Dragon Odd"" or ""Dragon Even,"" have a payout rate of only 78.75% and should also be avoided.
3. Betting on obscure sports leagues with strange odds can result in payout rates significantly below 80%. For example, with odds of 1.51 and 0.46, the average payout rate for this match is only 1.51*0.46*100% = 69.46%. Betting on such events carries a high risk for little reward." |
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