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Edited by Shri333 at 27-12-2023 11:36 AM
Is there a positive win rate? This issue has been debated by some experts recently. Before discussing this issue, we must first define this term: in simple terms, a positive win rate means making a profit from playing baccarat, regardless of whether you call it a positive yield rate or not. The act of betting on baccarat can be divided into two parts:
1. Betting method, which is the method of deciding whether to bet on the banker or the player for the next hand. The hit rate is related to the betting method.
2. Betting method, which is the method of deciding how many chips to bet on the next hand. The probability leverage ratio is related to the betting method.
Betting method + betting method = betting method
The impact of the betting method on the win rate is self-evident. No matter how bad (if there is a distinction between good and bad) the betting method is, if the hit rate of the betting method is 100%, it is definitely a positive win rate. Conversely, no matter how good the betting method is, if the hit rate is 0%, it is definitely a negative win rate.
Of course, some people may say that this example is too extreme, and some betting methods can be profitable with a hit rate of only 40%. Yes, I want to bring the topic to the betting method.
Betting methods can be simply divided into three categories:
1. Flat betting
2. Negative progression
3. Positive progression
Even if some are mixed or N-long out to sea, it doesn't matter, because their basic elements are inseparable from the three mentioned above.
Flat Betting: Its probability leverage ratio is 1:1. When the hit rate = 50%, its win rate is 0. When the hit rate <50%, its win rate is negative. When the hit rate >50%, its win rate is positive. In fact, flat betting, we can also see it as a progression. Each hand is a progression, and this progression only has one level, returning to this level regardless of whether it wins or loses. On the contrary, no matter what kind of betting method, we can see each progression as one hand.
Negative Progression: The probability leverage ratio varies according to the design of the progression method, but they all have in common that the probability leverage ratio is amplified, i.e., >50%. Take a three-level small straight progression as an example, 1, 2, 4, the probability leverage ratio increases from 1:1 to 8:1.
As mentioned earlier, we can see each progression as one hand. In this case, the game becomes a roulette with 8 numbers, and each hand becomes 7 basic units. The odds of the 7 numbers on the roulette are all 7:1, and one is 7:0. In this way, players have a 7/8 chance to bet 7 units and win 1 unit each time, and a 1/8 chance to lose 7 units.
In fact, this roulette can also be understood as 8 numbers, each number has odds of 1:8, and betting is like buying a large enclosure, with all seven numbers bet. Therefore, = 1X7/8, but if you happen to hit the missing number, you will lose = 7X1/8. The understanding of both is the same. This is the principle of losing between factories and winning sugar grains. |
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Post time 16-9-2023 13:36:09
