"Good Gambling Luck"

Kahn332

"Baccarat Strategy: Changing the Game with Half a Deck

In a 6-deck or 8-deck shoe, an Ace represents a 1 in 13 chance, just like any other card. However, when you reduce it to half a deck, the probabilities change. It becomes equivalent to a full deck or half a deck.

If you play baccarat with half a deck and end up with 6 cards after 4 rounds, how would you play the next round?

Let's shuffle the cards randomly and deal:

1st Round: 10-5-6-8... Player 6, Banker 3. Player 6 wins.
2nd Round: 8-7-K-Q... Player 8, Banker 6. Player 8 wins.
3rd Round: A-3-4-4... Player 5, Banker 7, Player draws 3 cards. Player 8 wins.
4th Round: 6-2-9-A... Player 5, Banker 3, Player draws 2 cards, Banker draws 5 cards. Banker 8 wins.

After these rounds, we have PPPB. How would you play the next round?

1. Betting Strategies:
   a. Positive Progression (Betting one unit, then doubling after a loss): If you lost after betting BBBB, your next bet would be -1-2-4+8 = +1. You win 1 unit.
   b. Negative Progression (Betting one unit, then doubling after a win): If you won after betting BBBB, your next bet would be +1+2+4-8 = -1. You lose 1 unit.
   c. Paroli (Betting one unit, then doubling after a win, resetting after three wins): After winning 3 units, you reset to 1 unit.

2. Roadmap Strategy:
   PPPB
   a. If you observe PPPBBB, bet on Banker.
   b. If you observe PPPBPPP, bet on Player.

3. Card Counting:
   Using half a deck with Aces, Twos, Threes... to be experimented with 20 cards and the remaining 10 as J, Q, K... the next round will undoubtedly be a ""Tie."" Bet on Tie.

In this scenario, card counting is the most effective strategy. It directly analyzes the unrevealed cards and determines that the next round will definitely result in a Tie. Other strategies like reading the roadmaps or using betting methods are not as reliable.

It's important to remember that baccarat strategies should be viewed from a long-term perspective. While short-term anomalies like Banker streaks, Player streaks, or Tie streaks can occur, the law of large numbers confirms that card counting is the best method for dealing with regular baccarat."

Indra55

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Iti9

"This method is something to grasp well, and it's very good."