Football Betting Handicap Analysis: Coin Theory

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It is well known that the choice of the handicap is nothing more than two options: the upper handicap and the lower handicap. Our consistent thinking always feels that the upper handicap (the side with the handicap) is easier to win. In fact, the result is different. It's like flipping a coin. In the case of a small number of tosses, the number of heads and tails may differ, but once the number of tosses increases significantly, we will find that the number of heads and tails will approach infinity and eventually be equal. The way for the bookmaker to profit in the long run is to extract a small amount of money after each coin toss. The more you participate, the greater the chance of losing money. According to statistics, fewer than 1.5% of participants can profit from playing handicaps, which means that the vast majority of participants lose money. This kind of gameplay has no skill, and the probability of winning or losing is basically the same for everyone.

The seemingly simple choice of two options, upper or lower handicap, conceals endless possibilities. Often, a seemingly stable match can kill you invisibly.

After listening to the above two theories, are you desperate for football betting? Don't panic! Next, I will explain how to effectively kill the bookmaker and make profits!

Standard Handicap Analysis Method:

Before placing a bet on a match, you need to fully understand which direction the bookmaker may introduce most of the betting volume into. This is where we will use the Standard Handicap Analysis Method! This is essentially a scale to measure how the bookmaker guides a match. The standard handicap is simply to open a standard handicap for a match based on various factors, and then compare it with the actual opening handicap to determine the match result. This is called the handicap analysis method. So how do we determine the standard handicap? Here are eight key factors: the home team's home record (whether they are a home dragon), the away team's away record (whether they are an away bug), the home team's recent performance, the away team's recent performance, historical head-to-head performance, media guidance, European odds, and Asian handicap.

Samiksha

The theory is something that can be learned.