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The Nine-Step Handicap Analysis Method: Unveiling the Bookmakers' Secrets"
The nine-step handicap analysis method is a technique developed by a seasoned gambler over years of experience in the world of sports betting. It involves analyzing the nine different handicaps offered by bookmakers to uncover inconsistencies and decipher the bookmakers' true intentions. In modern football, bookmakers' accuracy in predicting match outcomes is astonishing, making all their handicaps highly biased. What sets the nine-step handicap analysis apart is its intelligent use of handicaps like Asian handicaps, standard handicaps, over/under goal handicaps, halftime Asian handicaps, halftime over/under goal handicaps, halftime/fulltime handicaps, total goal handicaps, correct score handicaps, and odd/even handicaps, which are often overlooked by most bettors. The author has spent years researching and has distilled simple yet highly practical patterns, such as "When the full-time handicap is set at a half-goal, and the odds for a 3/3 halftime/fulltime result are higher than 3, bet on the over; the chances of a higher-scoring game are greater." These principles are easy to understand, making them accessible to both novice and experienced bettors. However, just as handicaps can vary in complexity, readers' understanding and application of these principles may also differ.
Before delving into the nine-step handicap analysis method, let's first discuss how to prepare before a match. Pre-match records should include rankings for both teams, Asian handicap odds, water odds, standard handicap odds, over/under goal odds, water odds, each team's performance in the last six matches in terms of goals scored and conceded, and each team's performance in the last six away or home matches.
For example, consider a match between Aston Villa (ranked 5th) and Manchester City (ranked 14th), with Asian handicap odds set at 1.0 for Aston Villa and 0.9 for Manchester City, and over/under goal odds at 0.87 for 2 goals and 0.98 for 2.5 goals. An hour before the match, the Asian handicap shifted to 0.85 for a draw/half-win. The over/under goal odds changed to 1.05 for 2/2.5 goals. Aston Villa had an unbeaten home record with 4 wins and 3 draws, scoring 11 goals and conceding 4. In the last six matches, they had 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 6 goals and conceding 5. Manchester City had a poor away record with 1 draw and 6 losses, scoring 3 goals and conceding 15. In their last six matches, they had 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, scoring 4 goals and conceding 7.
Based on this data, it was evident that Aston Villa had a strong chance of winning at home. They averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded per home game, while Manchester City only scored 0.4 goals and conceded 2.1 goals per away game. The likelihood of Aston Villa scoring 2 goals in this match was high. Furthermore, an hour before the match, the odds shifted from a half-goal handicap to a draw/half-win at lower odds, and the over/under goal odds increased from 2 goals to 2/2.5 at higher odds. This indicated that the chances of a high-scoring game increased. As expected, the match ended with Manchester City defeating Aston Villa 3-1, resulting in a win for the over and a loss for the home team. |
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Post time 6-9-2023 11:51:11
