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Now I want to share my experience with everyone, hoping to help some friends in need, especially those who support football betting. Thank you for your support!
First, let me briefly explain what I do every day. After lunch, I start by selecting matches. Generally, I don't observe non-mainstream matches. Personally, I consider mainstream matches to be those with odds from Macau (I prefer Asian handicaps and quarter-ball handicaps). I choose the handicaps I am good at and observe them. Then, I record a few matches that I feel confident about (it doesn't need to be many, just a few carefully chosen ones). Apart from these selected matches, I don't bet on other matches.
Next, it's about repeatedly analyzing the selected matches. During the observation, consider various factors such as the fundamental situation, Asian handicaps, European odds, and changes in over/under. As the match approaches, check the distribution of correct score odds (especially from bookmakers like W88, SBOBET, and Macau), the tendency of halftime/fulltime, and the goal-scoring tendency. Details can be nuanced, so take your time to understand.
When the match is about to start, observe the movement of Asian handicaps and over/under. If there is a significant change in the odds, it's important to abandon the match. This is crucial (for example, in the last match between Chongqing Lifan and Werder Bremen, the over 3 goals was at 1.08, and 2.5/3 goals were at 0.95 just before kickoff - this was an abnormal phenomenon, and the result was a loss).
Regarding bankroll management: I usually choose to bet on 3-5 matches a day (all carefully selected by myself). The bet amount for each match is 1 unit (this is important). My weekly goal is to win 5 units, which is not easy to achieve (you need a win rate of at least 60%). However, when your mindset is well-trained, it becomes possible. Lately, I've been fortunate, reaching my goal almost every Friday. I don't bet on matches I haven't thoroughly observed; otherwise, I won't bet even 1 unit.
When you realize your luck is not good for the day, be proactive in stopping. When you know luck is on your side (not necessarily for matches you feel good about), still be cautious and patient. Patience is key - endure, endure, and endure again. Only by doing this can you maintain a good mindset for observing matches.
Now, I'd like to share a method for accurately predicting over goals, especially for beginners. First, choose Asian handicaps or quarter-ball handicaps. Look at the odds for the draw (usually select matches with odds ranging from 3.40 to 4.20). Pay attention to matches from bookmakers like bet365, Macau, W88, SBOBET, William Hill, and Pinnacle. Focus on the fundamental situation - how many high-scoring games each team has played recently, and their offensive and defensive abilities. Next, observe the trend of over/under. If, just before the match, the over 2.5/3 goals maintain a low water level and the 3 goals handicap does not exceed 1.03, then the over is worth considering. Also, observe the odds for a 0-0 score. If bookmakers like Macau set the odds for 0-0 at 14, it means they strongly believe there will be goals. Combine this with the goal-scoring tendency. I won't go into too much detail here; it's something you need to study carefully.
Finally, for personal betting habits: I usually wait for 10 minutes before placing a bet. This allows me to observe the trend and wait for more favorable odds. Then, I bet cautiously. Of course, if you enter early, don't regret it. It means you have understood the match. Experience needs to be accumulated slowly, relying on yourself, and then combining the opinions of others. This is how you become stronger! |
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Post time 16-1-2024 20:24:25