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"""Ball games are real, but handicaps can be fake. The saying goes, 'No fake games, all fake handicaps.' This doesn't mean that all teams are involved in match-fixing, but rather that betting companies often have more accurate information about the inner workings of matches, including team conditions, field conditions, weather conditions, lineups, etc., which they use to estimate the closest possible outcome (they may even manipulate results for financially weaker clubs). Therefore, even though there are many unexpected factors, their accuracy in predictions is undoubtedly higher than that of ordinary people, which is beyond doubt. Betting companies are in business to make money, and they hope that bettors make wrong choices because the more wrong choices bettors make, the more profit they make. So, they may spread false information and use handicaps to guide bettors into making incorrect choices. If we analyze the handicaps and understand the bookmakers' psychology, we can determine which team the bookmakers favor, achieving better results with less effort.
There are two types of odds: genuine odds and conspiracy odds. Genuine odds are based on luck, and bookmakers don't always offer conspiracy odds. They also provide odds that are less certain, where you bet based on luck. These odds are ambiguous, and either team can be chosen. Even if the bookmaker loses money, it won't be a significant loss.
Common handicaps include: level handicap, level/half handicap, half handicap, half/one handicap, one handicap, one/half handicap, half ball handicap, half ball/two ball handicap... Other handicaps are less common. During the World Cup, for example, the Brazil vs. China match had a handicap of two and a half/three balls, and in the end, our national team lost both the match and the handicap.
Among the handicaps mentioned above, the level/half handicap is often used by bookmakers to entice bettors because if you bet on the higher handicap, you need to win by two goals to win the bet, while if you bet on the lower handicap, you only lose half your stake if you lose by one goal. When offering this type of handicap, there is usually a moderate difference between the two teams, and most people tend to bet on the lower handicap to minimize their potential losses. The level handicap usually doesn't result in a draw because a draw would only result in a 5% commission for the bookmaker, which is not very profitable. The half ball handicap is the riskiest type of bet. A half ball handicap suggests that the favored team has a better chance of winning, but it doesn't guarantee victory.""" |
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Post time 20-9-2023 13:37:53
