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This passage discusses the concept of panlu fenxi, which translates to ""handicap analysis"" or ""spread analysis"" in English. The passage highlights that many sports bettors on various forums commonly use this term, but in reality, its usefulness is questionable, and it often represents hindsight bias. After prolonged observation, some players have discovered the true meaning of analyzing the handicap. It is often a form of ""Monday-morning quarterbacking,"" where people try to make sense of the odds after the fact.
The passage suggests that many bettors are not interested in post-game analysis but rather in predicting outcomes in advance. To do this effectively, one must understand what the handicaps are truly indicating. The passage also emphasizes that bookmakers don't rely on a single outcome for their profits; they consider multiple potential results.
Furthermore, it mentions that certain handicap types, like ""Half/One goal,"" ""One goal."" and""One goal/handicap of one and a half goals."" are often easier to predict than others because they involve teams with significant differences in strength. In contrast, handicaps like ""Half goal"" and ""Draw/half handicap"" can be more challenging to predict because the teams are more evenly matched. Draw is considered the easiest handicap to predict because it eliminates the possibility of a draw.
The passage concludes by emphasizing that handicap analysis is an art that requires experience and accumulation of knowledge, and it aims to uncover the underlying factors influencing the handicaps. It suggests that successful handicap analysis goes beyond the surface and delves into the essence of the games themselves. |
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Post time 12-9-2023 13:34:08
