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The authenticity of the odds?
"Every ball is real, but the odds are false." This does not mean that all teams are involved in match-fixing, but rather that betting companies can have more accurate insights into game details than the general public or even the media, including team conditions, field conditions, weather conditions, lineups, etc. Based on this information, they can estimate the closest outcome (and in some cases, even influence the result by bribing financially weaker clubs). Therefore, although there are many unpredictable factors, their prediction accuracy is undoubtedly higher than that of ordinary people, and this is beyond doubt. However, since betting companies are in business to make money, they hope that bettors will make the wrong choices—the more mistakes, the more profit they make. Therefore, they may spread false information and use odds to guide bettors to bet on the wrong outcome. By analyzing the odds and understanding the psychology of the bookmakers, we can know which team the bookmakers favor, thus achieving results with less effort.
Types of odds
The odds can be divided into regular odds and conspiracy odds. Regular odds are based on luck, and not all odds set by the bookmakers are conspiracies. They may also set some uncertain odds based on luck. These odds are ambiguous, and either team could win. The bookmakers will not lose much money even if they lose. Common types of odds include: level odds; level/half-ball odds; half-ball odds; half-ball/one-ball odds; one-ball odds; one-ball/half-ball odds; half-ball odds; half-ball/two-ball odds... Other odds are less common. During the World Cup, for example, Brazil vs. China opened odds of two and a half/three balls, and our national team still lost both the game and the bet.
Among these odds, half-ball/one-ball odds are usually set by bookmakers to lure bettors. Because if you bet on the upper odds, you need to win by two goals to win entirely, while if you bet on the lower odds, you only lose half if you lose by one goal. When these odds are opened, it means that there is a gap between the two teams, but the gap is not significant. People generally tend to bet on the lower odds to minimize losses. Level odds usually do not end in a draw, which is not beneficial to the bookmakers because they can only collect a 5% handling fee for a draw, and the profit margin is too low. Half-ball odds are the riskiest types of odds, as they are essentially betting odds. A ball and a half odds indicate that the team with the handicap is more likely to win, but it does not guarantee victory. |
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Post time 3-4-2024 08:04:47